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Let’S Rename Housing Benefit More Fairly As “Landlord Bonus”.
https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/   Somewhat fringe blogger but good to see t...

Legal And General - The Bank Of Mum And Dad.
BBC News are running this today.... Legal and General say new mortgage products ...

London Rent Cap Petition To Theresa May And Sadiq Khan - Please Sign!
Sign if you want, don't sign if you don't want   (it has been updated ...

Sell The House, Live In A Van
There was discussion on here a while back about living in a van and I wanted to ...

Two In Five 18-24 Year Olds Are Already In Debt Nearly £3K
37 per cent have no plan for repaying the debt   Millions of young people...

U.k. Mortgage Approvals At Lowest In 18 Months/house Prices Could Ease Back By 3Pc
Apologies if already posted (mods, please delete if that is the case)   But...

Is Retirement Over?
Not sure if this is worthy of it's own thread as it's not really news to most fo...

Kick 'em While They're Down...jedi Mind Tricks
There's something i've been thinking about for a while (and yes...I know...I nee...

Off-Site Construction Key To Unlocking Housing Crisis - 85 Yrs Too Late
Buckminster Fuller was saying this in the 1930s    Off-site key to unl...

Shopper Footfall Unexpectedly Down
These so called experts who predict shopping trends are idiots. Bank holiday sh...

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Latest: House Price Crash News

Tuesday, Aug 30 2016 Add a News Blog Article

Slowing down. Still a waiting game

Telegraph: Homebuyers hold off after Brexit vote despite fall in interest rates

Economists said that the UK is showing signs of resilience in the face of the Brexit vote, but that any economic slowdown will have a knock-on impact in the housing market.

Posted by tom101 @ 04:06 PM 0 Comments

Working/Saving is for losers says BoE Chief economist

Guardian: 'Property is better bet' than a pension says Bank of England economist

Haldane believes that property is a better bet for retirement planning than a pension. "It ought to be pension but it's almost certainly property," he said "As long as we continue not to build anything like as many houses in this country as we need to ... we will see what we've had for the better part of a generation, which is house prices relentlessly heading north." Ros Altmann, the former pensions minister, said his comments were "divorced from reality" and it was "irresponsible" to suggest people should rely on property rather than pensions.

Posted by quiet guy @ 10:35 PM 5 Comments

HaHaHa The Specials were right but not for the reason they envisaged

Metro: The evergrowing list of London nightclub closures is completely unacceptable

Oh dear me, the price of property, rising rents, neighbours who like quiet and the greed of speculators and property developers. 'Destroying cultural hot spots in favour of empty blocks of luxury flats is the worst thing that we can do to this city.' London gets what it deserves now it doesn't belong to Londoners anymore.

Posted by enuii @ 08:39 PM 0 Comments

Will the huge surge to the right in Europe inpact house prices

Daily express: Favourite to be next Dutch PM vows to BAN the Koran and CLOSE all mosques

Europe is a tinder box ready to explode. Southern Mediterranean countries with 50% youth unemployment are full of angry young men. it has now spread to the North. The FAVOURITE for the Dutch elections has launched a manifesto where he will ban mosques, send immigrants home and not allow Jews or Muslims, none pork options in schools. Marine le Penn is becoming mainstream in France. In Germany the far right have been accelerating faster than any time in the last 70 years. Both Hungary and Poland elected right wing governments and are refusing refugees. in Austria after election fraud nulled the last election, it is almost sure that the far right wing candidate will get in. Europe is likely to implode before we finally leave the EU in two years. What will happen to our ponzi housing market?

Posted by britishblue @ 10:51 AM 0 Comments

"sales have slowed and prices fallen since the vote"

Guardian: Is Britain on the verge of a Brexit-fuelled house price crash? Only the data will tell

This week, exactly two months after the vote for Brexit, I spent an hour on the property site Zoopla looking at the latest housing sale data available. Anyone can do this at the click of a button. Unlike the rise in stamp duty in April, which was well anticipated, the vote to leave the EU was not. And all markets react most strongly to the unanticipated.

Posted by jack c @ 09:49 AM 2 Comments

Its all on sentiment now

Guardian: S Britain on the verge of a Brexit-fuelled house price crash? Only the data will tell

"Transactions fall when sellers refuse to drop the price they will accept because they want to believe that the economic effect of Brexit has been overplayed. They also fall when first-time buyers and landlords decide to wait to see if these small falls are a sign of more to come. It is a battle of collective wills: a standoff." One thing i would add is the current uncertainty in the workplace. Employers certainly havent missed the opportunity to beat their staff with the Brexit stick!

Posted by tom101 @ 03:35 PM 4 Comments

Unavoidable

Telegraph: Companies must sort their pension black holes before paying out senseless dividends

The suggestion is that as (company) pension funds are underfunded, then instead of paying dividends the money should go to make up any shortfall in the fund. Ignoring any other side effects from stopping dividends, you would have to ask yourself how many independent pension funds are based on receiving dividends... This is not directly connected to housing but considering the whole point of BoE policy since 2008 has been to ward off deflation through any means possible, money is disappearing anyway like whack-a-mole. Which makes me wonder if even nirp and the other extreme measures are doing no more than -delaying- deflation because in the end these missing pension funds are -not- going to be spent.

Posted by stillthinking @ 12:26 AM 0 Comments

How low can they go?

Daily Fail: RBS becomes the first bank to set negative interest rates: It's charging large firms to hold cash - so could families be next?

Will homeowners be paid to take out mortgages? It could be profitable for banks to lend out at, say, -0.01 if money they do not lend out that they have to park in the central bank is charged -0.4% interest rates. Remember, 0% is an arbitrary number because banking profit is about arbitration and opportunity cost. They receive cash at whatever cost the market delivers and add a mark-up, pocketing the difference.

Posted by libertas @ 04:29 PM 13 Comments

Equivalent to Hinkley Point C every two years

BBC News: Private landlords double housing benefit haul to £9.3bn

Private landlords in the UK received twice as much in housing benefit last year - £9.3bn - as they did a decade ago, a report says. The National Housing Federation (NHF) study said the increase was due to a big rise in the number of private tenants claiming housing benefit. The NHF said this particular group of people had grown by 42% since 2008. In 2006, some £4.6bn in housing benefit was paid to private landlords, a figure which had more than doubled by 2015. NHF chief executive David Orr said: "It is madness to spend £9bn of taxpayers' money lining the pockets of private landlords rather than investing in affordable homes."

Posted by quiet guy @ 08:42 AM 3 Comments

Unhealthy debt-to-property ratio for UK plc.

Guardian: ONS data shows UK wealth wedded to property

Data reveals UK net worth of £8.8tn is four times that of 1995 after massive rise in property wealth, but stellar rise masks public deficit and decline in savings

Posted by dohousescrashinthewoods @ 09:39 AM 4 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly change
(%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £292,000 N/A 7.90 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
LSL Property Services/Acadametrics Feb 16 £289,229 0.80 6.20 Cross£292,077
(Dec 15)
0.9810/03/2016 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Feb 16 £209,495 1.40 9.70 TickThis monthN/A03/03/2016 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Mar 16 N/A 0.90 7.90 Cross N/A N/A 11/03/2016 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey Jan 16 N/A 0.50 7.80 Cross N/A N/A 26/02/2016
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £190,275 0.20 6.10 Tick£191,812
(Jan 16)
0.8030/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Apr 16 £202,436 0.20 4.90 TickThis monthN/A02/05/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £303,190 1.30 7.60 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Communities and Local Government House Price Index Jan 16 £551,000 N/A N/A 10.80 TickThis monthN/A22/03/2016
Halifax House Price Index Q4 15 £416,163 N/A N/A 16.40 CrossThis quarterN/A01/01/2016 (PDF)
Land Registry Monthly Report Feb 16 £530,368 0.60 N/A 13.50 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
0.0130/03/2016 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q1 16 £455,984 N/A 1.20 11.50 Cross£456,229
(Q4 15)
0.0504/04/2016 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index Mar 16 £644,045 0.00 N/A 11.00 TickThis monthN/A21/03/2016 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive